Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.425573 0.492558 0.565854 0.651904 0.750049 0.858390 0.986938
2025-07-13 0.318848 0.411102 0.522357 0.665889 0.845595 1.062552 1.343693
2025-07-20 0.267972 0.373860 0.510886 0.700044 0.953066 1.278330 1.726413
2025-07-27 0.229832 0.342310 0.496574 0.721641 1.039262 1.468690 2.089846
2025-08-03 0.197427 0.311543 0.476265 0.728493 1.101370 1.627880 2.421944
2025-08-10 0.169866 0.282582 0.453029 0.725674 1.145901 1.762712 2.728091
2025-08-17 0.146338 0.255743 0.428491 0.716205 1.176983 1.877688 3.011971
2025-08-24 0.127373 0.233152 0.407069 0.707828 1.206895 1.990985 3.300098
2025-08-31 0.108950 0.208614 0.379022 0.684580 1.209149 2.059341 3.521120
2025-09-07 0.103280 0.205600 0.386550 0.721239 1.312728 2.297035 4.031981
2025-09-14 0.089876 0.186445 0.363412 0.701592 1.317668 2.371506 4.277570
2025-09-21 0.078411 0.169303 0.341708 0.681693 1.319362 2.439206 4.515048
2025-09-28 0.068607 0.154280 0.322554 0.665077 1.326550 2.519133 4.784587
2025-10-05 0.063467 0.148159 0.319905 0.679748 1.393364 2.710930 5.269691
2025-10-12 0.060909 0.147151 0.327227 0.714599 1.501551 2.986134 5.927277
2025-10-19 0.057320 0.143329 0.328246 0.736618 1.586320 3.223795 6.532266
2025-10-26 0.052782 0.136663 0.322411 0.743602 1.641262 3.408381 7.049478
2025-11-02 0.047965 0.128611 0.312540 0.740729 1.675289 3.554193 7.501206
2025-11-09 0.043196 0.119949 0.300235 0.731076 1.693880 3.670258 7.901912
2025-11-16 0.039035 0.112183 0.289020 0.722537 1.713775 3.789905 8.317677
2025-11-23 0.034413 0.102492 0.272059 0.698837 1.697928 3.834137 8.581386
2025-11-30 0.033735 0.103307 0.280654 0.736208 1.822236 4.181523 9.500821
2025-12-07 0.030040 0.095200 0.266096 0.716179 1.813262 4.243130 9.818594